Friday, April 11, 2008

Zimbabwe Opposition 'Optimistic' After Meeting Mbeki, Getting Assurances

The Zimbabwe opposition party Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), led by Morgan Tsvangirai, has been meeting with African leaders in an effort to shore up support against the regime of Robert Mugabe, which preliminary vote counts suggest may have lost the recent election, both for parliament and the presidency. Mugabe's suppoerters have been fighting to keep down opposition support, while Mugabe has refused to allow vote counts to be made public.

The electoral standoff is creating worries of a deepening crisis, expanding on the economic chaos brought on by the Mugabe regime's policies, which have led to inflation in excess of 100,000%. The Times of London reports:

Levy Mwanawasa, the Zambian President, will host an urgent meeting of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) tomorrow to formulate a regional approach to the worsening situation.

After a meeting with the South African president, Thabo Mbeki, a spokesman for Tsvangirai said he had Mbeki's assurance the opposition leader would be included in the regional summit, and that his apparent victory in the parliamentary and presidential elections would qualify him as "head of state". The statement has not been made by Mbeki himself, but the message will clearly put heavy pressure on Mr. Mugabe to recognize and publish the legitimate count of votes.
Disturbing news of regime supporters using violence and state power to intimidate the opposition, continue to emerge:
Unwilling to allow Mr Mugabe to slope off into retirement, those supporting him – including the military – have taken the reigns, unleashing an orchestrated campaign of terror against opposition activists, election observes an ordinary voters in an attempt to secure Mr Mugabe victory in a second-round poll.

White-owned farms were the first targets of the violence that insiders say is being co-ordinated by 200 handpicked military and intelligence officers loyal to the President.

Police have also arrested Mr Tsvangirai’s lawyer. Innocent Chagonda, who successfully defended Mr Tsvangirai from treason charges in 2004, was seized on charges related to a helicopter hired for the MDC.

The MDC says the arrest is part of an orchestrated campaign to beat the opposition into submission and stave off pressures from the international community. Reports suggest the Mugabe regime hopes to suppress the release of vote totals, contest a runoff vote, and outlast calls for a peaceful transition of leadership.

Saturday, March 8, 2008

Reports Suggest White House Again Has Contingency Plan to Suspend US Election in November

Reports that have cropped up online, through the blogosphere and which echo a Newsweek report from mid-2004, suggest the White House may be planning to implement a security protocol that would include canceling the 2008 elections in case of "catastrophic emergency". The key may lie in still classified "top secret" document that combines National Security Presidential Directive 51 and Homeland Security Presidential Directive 20, issued on 4 May 2007.

According to Betsy Hartmann's reporting for Common Dreams:

previous administrations also had emergency plans. But the Bush directive transfers power from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to the White House, where the Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism is assigned the job of 'National Continuity Coordinator'.

In June 2007, Charlie Savage wrote for the Boston Globe that

The Bush administration is writing a new plan to maintain governmental control in the wake of an apocalyptic terrorist attack or overwhelming natural disaster, moving such doomsday planning for the first time from the Federal Emergency Management Agency to officials inside the White House.

Savage also wrote that, though the mainstream media had paid almost no attention to the document or its potential impact on the structure of the federal government, those who had examined the language of the unclassified portion of the directive had expressed "concerns that the policy may be written in such a way that makes it too easy to invoke emergency presidential powers such as martial law".

The actual document states that "'Enduring Constitutional Government,' or 'ECG,' means a cooperative effort among the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of the Federal Government, coordinated by the President", which leaves concerning ambiguity as to the powers the president might assume under this directive, in case of a "catastrophic emergency".

The same clause also states reassuringly that the aim is "to preserve the constitutional framework under which the Nation is governed and the capability of all three branches of government to execute constitutional responsibilities". It does however go on to cite the need to "provide for orderly succession, appropriate transition of leadership, and interoperability" among the technically separate branches of constitutional government.

Again, reassuringly, listed as the primary "National Essential Function", in section (5)(a), is "Ensuring the continued functioning of our form of government under the Constitution, including the functioning of the three separate branches of government". But in section (6), we find what appears again to hint at a vast expansion of presidential power:

The President shall lead the activities of the Federal Government for ensuring constitutional government. In order to advise and assist the President in that function, the Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism (APHS/CT) is hereby designated as the National Continuity Coordinator.

Section (20) of the directive stipulates "This directive shall be implemented in a manner that is consistent with, and facilitates effective implementation of, provisions of the Constitution concerning succession to the Presidency or the exercise of its powers", but does not strictly limit the exercise of presidential powers to those enumerated in the Constitution as written and/or amended.

Section (21)(a) states that the directive "Shall be implemented consistent with applicable law and the authorities of agencies, or heads of agencies, vested by law, and subject to the availability of appropriations". This seems to admit for Congress the role of overseeing and regulating the planning and the implementation of the procedures outlined, should such a catastrophic emergency arise. There is no reference to the classified portions of the directive in the copy published via White House press release, on 9 May 2007.

In 2004, Newsweek reported that the Dept. of Homeland Security, under then director Tom Ridge, was planning to implement a nationwide emergency security strategy that would include something like martial law and the postponement of the 2004 election.

The news sparked outrage among politicians and the public, and 191 members of Congress signed a petition that charged that the strategy "including requesting an informal review by the Justice Department, would present the greatest threat to date to our democratic process - and would invite terrorists to disrupt the selection of our highest leader".

The plans were modified or withdrawn, and no effort is known to have been implemented to interfere with the 2004 election for security reasons. It was widely pointed out that Pres. Abraham Lincoln, treated by many detractors even in the Union states as a dictator for his management of the Civil War, did not cancel the presidential elections in 1864, when Confederate troops could very well have invaded the capital, an obvious threat to the nation's stability.

As reported by Sentido in 2004 "According to Newsweek, DeForest Soaries, the Bush appointee who made the controversial request has himself admitted that 'the federal government has no agency that has the statutory authority to cancel and reschedule a federal election.'"

One press report on the subject, on the Free-Market News Network (listed by Google as available on "Mar 7, 2008 22:15:47 GMT"), has since been moved or erased. A search for the articles title or for "2008 election" retrieves no such article.

There is no direct mention in the publicly available document of a strategy to postpone an election or to replace a constitutionally mandated presidential election with another process. But the document does refer cryptically to "succession", which it recommends follow the Constitution. No process for doing so is actually laid out, raising concern among some about what exactly is hidden from public view in the classified version of the document.

Monday, February 11, 2008

ELECTION IRREGULARITIES: Louisiana Democrats Disenfranchised When Party Registration Switched

The presidential campaign of Barack Obama has issued a statement regarding reports of voter-registration irregularities in Louisiana that allegedly led to the denial of the vote to hundreds of people. The Obama campaign website published the following:

The Obama campaign submitted an urgent request for assistance to the Secretary of State’s Division of Elections today, after receiving widespread reports from Democrats across Louisiana who reported that they were not allowed to vote because their party affiliation had been switched. Hundreds of Louisiana democrats went to the polls to vote in today’s presidential primary and found that they were now on registration lists as Independent or Unaffiliated voters.

The outcome of the voting in Louisiana appears to be a win for the Illinois senator, but his campaign has been vehement in pushing for greater access to the polls for would-be voters, and took issue with the manner in which voters' party registration was allegedly switched without their knowledge.

The investigative blogsite, Bradblog, has published this summary of a wave of irregularities in the primaries held in recent days:

Georgia: Widespread bottlenecks for voters as problems occur with Diebold's new e-pollbook system and the state's new Photo ID restrictions. Voters waited in line for up to two hours in some places.

New Mexico: 17,000 (11%) forced to vote on provisional ballots in Democratic Caucus as previously registered Democrats find they are no longer on voter rolls recently privatized by voting machine company ES&S.

Arizona: We've begun receiving reports from voters and local officials of polling places where some 40% of voters were forced to vote on provisionals, after state registration system outsourced to ES&S. [UPDATE: One such report is now published here, from a poll worker who reports that of 1291 ballots cast at her polling place, 540 --- some 41% --- were forced to vote provisionally.]

California: Various reports of voters registered for one party to find they were switched to another, or not registered at all. Confusion about how to handle non-partisan voters in Los Angeles County leads to nearly 100,000 votes which may not be counted properly.

Problems with electronic voter-registration records, with the management of these systems by private contractors, and especially where non-verifiable touchscreen machines have been used —leaving no physical record of voter intent, only a potentially (and in many cases to date proven to be) flawed electronic "tally"— are occurring in a disturbingly high number of places, and irregularities are already threatening to undermine the overall integrity of the 2008 election process across the United States.

ELECTION IRREGULARITIES: Washington GOP Primary Called with 242 Vote Margin at Just 87% of Count

The presidential campaign of Mike Huckabee is "exploring all available legal options regarding the dubious final results for the state of Washington State Republican precinct caucuses". The state's Republican party halted the count at 87% of votes counted, a margin of just 242 votes separating John McCain from Mike Huckabee, and a reported 12,000 votes tallied to that point. Ron Paul was just 427 points behind Huckabee, in third place, when the counting was stopped.

The state Republican party then issued a press release around 2:30 am declaring John McCain the winner of the primary, despite not completing the vote count. At least 1,500 votes were expected uncounted when the state was called for McCain by the party, raising serious issues about the caucus organizers' adherence to the "intent of the voter" principle. The Huckabee statement goes on to declare that "more than one in eight Evergreen State Republicans have been disenfranchised by the actions of their own party."

Thursday, February 7, 2008

SUPER TUESDAY PRIMARIES: New Mexico Faces Questions of Process Integrity in Democratic Caucus

Reports from New Mexico are demonstrating a range of problems that faced voters during the Super Tuesday "nationwide primary" Democratic party caucuses there. The New Mexico caucus system is run by the party itself, and involves actual paper ballots, cast by each individual voting. But the list of voters eligible to participate is not maintained by the party itself or by the state, but instead by ES&S, an electronic voting-machine manufacturer.

Whether due to this layered management of the voter registration rolls or not, on the day of the caucus, some 17,000 New Mexicans were required to cast provisional ballots because despite being properly registered, their names did not appear on caucus attendee lists, and their official ballots were not provided.

In an astonishing parallel to this voter access glitch, it has been reported that at least three ballot boxes, full of uncounted ballots, were taken home and kept overnight by a county chairwoman for the Democratic party. The margin separating Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in the voting, as this news emerged, was just 217 votes out of 136,000 cast (a difference of just 0.16%). The ballot boxes, which may now be tainted and will likely have to undergo an investigative audit before being counted and added to the totals, could easily contain the votes needed to change the outcome of such a close contest.

While problems with touchscreen voting caused New Mexico to cast aside that option, and to opt for paper instead, it has been reported that a number of precincts saw no paper ballots available and/or a shortage of provisional ballots. Governor Bill Richardson, a would-be presidential candidate in this year's race, has said he is "deeply disturbed by the reports that problems and delays at polling locations may have kept people from voting".

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

SUPER TUESDAY PRIMARIES: Balloting Irregularities Reported in Los Angeles County, New Jersey & Georgia

As the most widespread presidential primary vote in US history took place yesterday, across the continent and beyond (American Samoa also voted), there were glitches, confusion and unjustifiable waits in states across the country. Three examples stand out: touchscreen machines failing in New Jersey, a suspiciously confusing ballot in Los Angeles, and multiple irregularities in Georgia, where long waits, questionable ID laws and more failing Diebold machines made voting a serious challenge by any rational standards.

In the case of Georgia, the campaign of Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) —who won the state convincingly— has requested an investigation into irregularities that may have prevented some from casting votes, including the up to 90-minute waits reported and isolated cases of voters then being directed to alternate polling locations and an alleged campaign of phone calls to elderly voters telling them they could vote by phone (a lie, apparently designed to prevent their voting).

In New Jersey, Governor Jon Corzine was forced to stand idle while his touchscreen voting machine did the same. Two touchscreen machines at the "Hoboken Fire Department Engine Company No. 2 on Washington Street would not work for about 45 minutes as the polls opened", according to a report by Brad Friedman, sourcing the Associated Press. Gov. Corzine was forced to wait at least 45 minutes while the problem was repaired. The votes were non-verifiable electronic votes, and FOX News reported that there were no provisional ballots made available at the polling place.

New Jersey is home to Rep. Rush Holt, a Democrat, who is the leading proponent in Congress for voter-verified paper trails for all touchscreen machines. He has two bills currently pending debate, which would mandate a nationwide voter-verified paper trail standard. Some complain that more appropriate legislation would be to ban all touchscreen machines outright, due to their numerous vulnerabilities to computer error, human error and tampering.

In Los Angeles, perhaps the most serious irregularities occured. On a registration form that precedes the ballot itself, and that requires voters to select their party affiliation or non-partisan affiliation, selecting "Independent" had the effect of registering the voter, likely inadvertently, as a member of the "American Independent" party, making them ineligible to vote in the Democratic primary.

Independent or unaffiliated voters eligible to vote were required to select either "Decline to State" —which grammatically does not mean there is no party affiliation—, or otherwise "DTS" or "Non-partisan", all of which appear unrelated to the interest of an independent voter interested in choosing a Democratic candidate of preference.

Any independent voter who selected Independent (capital "I") and not DTS or the related option, will have no vote counted in the California primary. The Los Angeles city attorney Rocky Delgadillo has requested an inquiry into the problem, which could disenfranchise literally hundreds of thousands of Californians. The specific problem is exacerbated by the fact that there is no logical reason for voters to select the bubble, since they have requested the Democratic ballot and are either officially registered or not with any given party.

Delgadillo issued a statement saying "I urge the Secretary of State and County Registrar to do everything within their power to ensure that every vote is counted, and to carefully weigh voter intent against this confusing Los Angeles County ballot design. [...] Los Angeles' non-partisan voters must not be disenfranchised because of a confusing ballot design."


As many as 776,000 voters with no party affiliation were expected to go to the polls in Los Angeles County, a number in itself far higher than most states' overall primary electorate. The mass confusion could certainly cause a huge drop in the number of ballots counted, according to Los Angeles County election rules.



[ You can find more on voter-verified paper trails and the all-votes-count standard at VerifiedVoting.org, which also hosts a map showing which states still use unverifiable paperless touchscreens, and which states require paper trails, manual recounts, and what level of the legislative process pending legislation may be at, at present. ]

Thursday, January 10, 2008

SPECIAL NEWS ALERT: Touchscreen Voting Machines Put in Question Integrity of US Election Process

Across the United States, problems are being discovered with what are supposed to be the state of the art in balloting technology: digital touchscreen voting machines. Security questions were raised initially when the machines were widely distributed, by a handful of companies, with no hard-copy record of voters' intent, which led to a nationwide movement calling for "verified voting", or voter-verified paper trails.

State after state has accepted that the absolute standard for a truly reliable voting and vote-counting process must be a process where voters can actually see the official record of their votes, verify that their votes were recorded correctly, and where those hard-copies can then be checked by both machine and by human intervention, if such a recount is needed. Florida and California have both scrapped their touchscreen machines, amid mounting concerns about reliability and security.

A team of researchers at Princeton University has demonstrated the ease with which the machines can be hacked and thousands of votes shifted or stolen, leaving little or no trace and with no means by which to return to any record of "voter intent" (a standard which most states require constitutionally). Allegations of suspicious interactions between company executives at Diebold and other voting machine manufacturers or maintenance firms has raised fears that the machines have already been used to sway the outcome of past elections (Ohio in 2004 is one possible case).

In southern California, San Diego election workers were permitted to take the machines home with them on the eve of elections, leading to what is possible the most severe security breach in US elections since the 2000 debacle in Florida raised real concerns about the legitimacy of the vote-counting process. Instances of votes for one candidate actually being recorded for another are infamous and disturbingly frequent.

Clive Thompson has written for The New York Times:

"In the last three election cycles, touch-screen machines have become one of the most mysterious and divisive elements in modern electoral politics. Introduced after the 2000 hanging-chad debacle, the machines were originally intended to add clarity to election results. But in hundreds of instances, the result has been precisely the opposite: they fail unpredictably, and in extremely strange ways; voters report that their choices 'flip' from one candidate to another before their eyes; machines crash or begin to count backward; votes simply vanish."


So, even where the "paper trail" is implemented, to shore up the technology against its own inherent flaws, there are problems with the quality of the manufacturing or maintenance, it would seem, leading to the possibility that votes are simply erased, lost, or never recorded. Roughly one-third of the electorate will cast their votes in November 2008 on touchscreen machines, unless action is taken to prevent this unproven technology from interfering with voters' ability to express their choice.

Thursday, January 3, 2008

IOWA CAUCUSES: Process Complicates, Elucidates Measure of Real Voter Support

UNIQUE SYSTEM BRINGS MUCH DIRECT CANDIDATE-VOTER INTERACTION, DESPITE INDIRECT MEASURE OF VOTER PREFERENCE

Often treated by mass media reporting as an "idiosyncratic" or "archaic" process, the Iowa caucuses are voters' first opportunity to weigh the value of the spectrum of candidates running for the office of the presidency. A caucus is not a vote, as such, but rather a discussion that ends with voters standing in the corner —quite literally— of the candidate they support.

The direct result of this process being privileged by coming first among all primary processes is that candidates must mingle with and meet and listen to individual voters across a sparsely populated state. While Iowa is not considered to be sociologically or demographically representative of the majority of the country, this one-to-one contact brings the candidates' rhetoric down to Earth and forces them to keep in touch with the needs and struggles of average citizens.

The Republican process differs from the Democratic process in that in August of the preceding year, the Republican Iowa Straw Poll measures caucus support for potential candidates, and the winner is often the winner in the election-year caucus contest. This year sees a possible inversion of that trend, where August 2007 Straw Poll winner Mitt Romney now trails Mike Huckabee 31% to 25% in rolling polls of "likely caucus goers" on the eve of the caucus.

The actual delegate selection process for Republicans is not very direct, as the precinct caucuses themselves result in non-binding voter "recommendations" to precinct delegates, who then select county delegates, who then select district delegates, who then officially select the statewide delegates that will cast their vote for a candidate at the Republican National Convention. [Full Story]

Saturday, December 1, 2007

Putin's United Russia Party Said to Be Using State Power to Block Out Rivals

EUROPE'S TOP ELECTION MONITORING BODY HAS REFUSED TO OBSERVE SUNDAY'S ELECTIONS SAYING PROCESS HAS BEEN UNFAIR

Reports from across Russia indicate that by various means, state authorities are pressuring organizations and institutions of all kinds to force mass voter turnout for Pres. Putin's United Russia party. The Kremlin denies the allegations, but at least one high ranking election official has said he was given orders to ensure that United Russia receive 'double' the number of votes forecast by current opinion polling.

That same official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told the press that there was no way such a broad margin could be achieved without massive fraud or intimidation. Observers from NGOs, election-monitoring groups, free-press advocates and editorial circles, have expressed dismay at the tactics being used by Pres. Putin's government, to close out any substantive opposition campaign against his policies or his government. [Full Story]

Thursday, August 30, 2007

California Electoral College Plan May Undermine National Election Integrity

CRITICS SAY PLAN DESIGNED TO GIVE GOP UNFAIR ADVANTAGE IN NATIONAL VOTE

The Electoral College is a procedural peculiarity enshrined in the Constitution, initially intended to protect the voting power of slave-holding states, which puts the very concept of majority rule in question. A California plan to "reform" the system would grant electoral college votes to the Republican party even if it doesn't win the state, which would rob the Democrats of votes they would not gain in any state controlled by Republicans.

A national popular vote initiative is under consideration in 47 states, and would form a new system where states agree to give their electors to the winner of the national popular vote. The Constitution empowers states to choose how members of the electoral college are chosen and how they vote. When states holding 270 electors collectively pass the plan into law, it will officially mean the winner of the popular vote will always be chosen by the Electoral College.

In 2006, both houses of the California Congress passed legislation signing onto the plan, but Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican, vetoed the legislation. This set the stage for a very heated partisan debate, both in California and across the nation.

A fundamental question of the dedication to democratic principles comes into play when one state sets up its legislative process as a means of engineering a sway in the national presidential vote. The Constitution provides for each state to determine how its electors will vote, in legislation to be laid out before the election is held. [Full Story]